Given the success of dominant clubs such as the Houston Astros, Los Angeles Dodgers and Boston Red Sox in recent years, the Philadelphia Phillies’ unlikely run to the World Series stands in stark contrast to the aforementioned trio.
The top three teams won the World Series after winning a 62%+ clip in the regular season. The Astros and Red Sox had more than 100 winning seasons in 2017 and 2018, respectively, en route to World Series titles. The Dodgers, meanwhile, went 43-17 (71.6%) in a COVID-19-shortened 2020 season, a mark that translates to 116 wins over a 162-game full season.
Conversely, the Phillies at 87 wins (53.7%) have the fewest regular season wins by a World Series club since the Cardinals in 2006. That year, St. Louis beat the Tigers after a uneven regular season in which the Cardinals won only 83 games.
Now the Phillies will face the heavily favored Astros in the 2022 World Series, which begins Friday night in Houston. While the Astros were among the American League favorites to qualify for the World Series at the start of the season, the Phillies largely defied National League expectations.
The bet would win $125,000 and is now VERY alive
—Ben Fawkes (@BFawkes22) October 24, 2022
The Astros enter Friday’s World Series opener as a -165 money-line favorite at BetMGM over upstart Phils (+140) in Game 1 of the World Series. The game features a pair of All-Star pitchers, as two-time American League Cy Young winner Justin Verlander takes the mound against Phillies starter Aaron Nola.
For Friday’s game, there’s a wide menu of offers at BetMGM, one of the top mobile sportsbooks in the country. Beyond Game 1, the Astros are at -190 odds to win their second World Series in the past six seasons. BetMGM has odds of +155 on the Phillies to pull off the upset. New BetMGM users can take advantage of the bookmaker’s generous offer with a risk-free promotional bet of up to $1,000.
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The Astros have won 106 regular season games, 19 more than the Phillies. The win disparity is reminiscent of the 2019 World Series, when the Astros won 107 regular-season games, 14 more wins than the NL champions Washington Nationals. Despite opening the series as considerable underdogs, the Nats prevailed in seven games.
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Phillies at Astros
- Date: Friday, October 28, 2022
- Start time: 8:03 p.m. ET
- Channel: Fox
- Location: Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
- Speakers: Houston Astros (7-0 MLB Playoffs) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (9-2)
- BetMGM Sports Betting Odds: Astros -1.5 runs (+135), Total 6.5 runs (Over -120/Under +100)
- Money line: Astros -165 / Phillies +140
Roof closed for game 1
With forecasts calling for a 90% chance of rain on Friday night, the Minute Maid Park rooftop will be closed for Game 1, ESPN reported. It’s also highly likely that the roof will be closed again for Game 2 on Saturday night.
Some baseball experts believe that fly balls carry farther when the top is closed. For example, the Yankees claimed that an Aaron Judge drive in Game 2 of the American League Championship Series would have gone far enough for a home run if Major League Baseball officials decided to close the roof. . Kyle Schwarber has +270 odds for hitting at least one home run in Friday’s opener, the best odds for a player on either team.
Schwarber, the National League regular season home run champion, hit a 488-foot home run in Game 1 of the NLCS. The circuit, which had an exit speed of 119.7 mph, is the longest circuit at Petco Park in the Statcast era. It’s also the hardest-hit playoff home run since MLB began tracking exit speed with Statcast technology.
For micro betting fans, there could have been some tasty props on #Schwaber‘s mammoth HR last night
Will anyone do a circuit with an exit speed of 119 mph+? YES: +1000
— Matt Rybaltowski (@MattRybaltowski) October 19, 2022
Two of Schwarber’s teammates, Bryce Harper and Rhys Hoskins, have odds of +340 and +400, respectively, to record at least one homer on Friday night. Harper sent the Phillies to the World Series with a two-run homer in the eighth inning of a Game 5 win over the Padres. Astros outfielder Yordan Alvarez is rated +300 on BetMGM to hit a home run on Friday.
The Astros swept the Yankees in four games in the ALCS after a three-game loss to the Mariners in the ALDS. With a Phillies sweep, Houston would become the first team since the 1976 Cincinnati Reds to complete an MLB playoff undefeated. Nicknamed the Big Red Machine, the Reds swept the Yankees with a towering roster that included Pete Rose, Joe Morgan and George Foster. The Astros have +750 odds to defeat the Phillies in a four-game sweep.
Exact odds of World Series results at BetMGM
- Astros in 5 — +400
- Astros in 6 — +400
- Astros in 7 — +400
- Phillies in 6 — +600
- Phillies in 7 — +600
- Astros in 4 — +750
- Phillies in 5 — +800
- Phillies in 4 — +1400